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00:39------
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00:370.64545.72.45---
00:360.77548.71.52---
00:350.89549.12.17---
00:340.89548.32.46---
00:331.12551.72.46---
00:320.96554.02.43---
00:311.08549.32.39---
00:300.86550.22.54---
00:290.99551.52.28---
00:281.08550.52.371.1550.52.4
00:271.01549.32.451.0549.32.4
00:260.84549.82.280.8549.82.3
00:250.82552.72.230.8552.72.2
00:241.01554.92.451.0554.92.4
00:231.08555.73.141.1555.73.1
00:221.13561.45.091.1561.45.1
00:210.99558.15.061.0558.15.1
00:201.18563.54.961.2563.55.0
00:191.10554.05.041.1554.05.0
00:181.23562.55.021.2562.55.0
00:170.94564.75.050.9564.75.1
00:161.01560.85.101.0560.85.1
00:151.06554.95.091.1554.95.1
00:141.16560.85.161.2560.85.2
00:131.14567.55.351.1567.55.4
00:121.13566.15.401.1566.15.4
00:111.15563.85.271.1563.85.3
00:101.12551.05.631.1551.05.6
00:091.00546.23.611.0546.23.6
00:080.86539.92.740.9539.92.7
00:070.96542.42.991.0542.43.0
00:061.02542.93.101.0542.93.1
00:051.07541.73.231.1541.73.2
00:040.97543.23.281.0543.23.3
00:030.94545.23.200.9545.23.2
00:020.81551.63.280.8551.63.3
00:010.94541.63.400.9541.63.4
00:000.88538.02.990.9538.03.0
23:591.00539.22.701.0539.22.7
23:581.04537.13.481.0537.13.5
23:571.06536.13.241.1536.13.2
23:561.10536.52.961.1536.53.0
23:551.03535.93.011.0535.93.0
23:540.96536.42.641.0536.42.6
23:530.95542.03.060.9542.03.1
23:520.94547.73.380.9547.73.4
23:510.96545.63.251.0545.63.3
23:500.93542.93.170.9542.93.2
23:490.93543.63.150.9543.63.2
23:480.96543.23.021.0543.23.0
23:470.96549.62.921.0549.62.9
23:460.95542.32.700.9542.32.7
23:451.01545.62.391.0545.62.4
23:440.20522.61.860.2522.61.9
23:430.10514.0-1.370.1514.0-1.4
23:420.07525.9-1.960.1525.9-2.0
23:410.06521.7-2.250.1521.7-2.3
23:400.11517.5-1.670.1517.5-1.7
23:390.14522.0-1.840.1522.0-1.8
23:380.13525.8-1.320.1525.8-1.3
23:370.60538.91.520.6538.91.5
23:360.56538.20.540.6538.20.5
23:350.59538.81.120.6538.81.1
23:340.84544.61.580.8544.61.6
23:330.78547.51.950.8547.51.9
23:320.50556.21.830.5556.21.8
23:310.08549.4-0.080.1549.4-0.1
23:300.14627.7-2.940.1627.7-2.9
23:290.12529.7-2.400.1529.7-2.4
23:280.19522.5-0.890.2522.5-0.9
23:270.13624.7-1.320.1624.7-1.3
23:260.05555.1-2.770.1555.1-2.8
23:250.03522.9-2.740.0522.9-2.7
23:240.02533.9-0.0533.9-
23:230.01547.0-2.190.0547.0-2.2
23:220.03601.7-2.290.0601.7-2.3
23:210.06614.4-2.700.1614.4-2.7
23:200.20544.0-2.490.2544.0-2.5
23:190.46536.60.260.5536.60.3
23:180.33560.11.510.3560.11.5
23:170.14608.40.860.1608.40.9
23:160.73569.5-0.240.7569.5-0.2
23:151.10557.72.311.1557.72.3
23:140.03635.41.020.0635.41.0
23:130.04605.6-2.010.0605.6-2.0
23:120.03556.3-1.110.0556.3-1.1
23:110.03543.8-0.430.0543.8-0.4
23:100.04539.8-0.570.0539.8-0.6
23:090.07527.6-0.090.1527.6-0.1
23:080.13541.20.150.1541.20.2
23:070.21546.20.390.2546.20.4
23:060.19536.50.810.2536.50.8
23:050.13533.21.090.1533.21.1
23:040.29566.90.770.3566.90.8
23:030.26562.81.080.3562.81.1
23:021.92546.91.701.9546.91.7
23:017.75529.02.087.7529.02.1
23:000.44541.32.030.4541.32.0
22:591.69575.33.981.7575.34.0
22:581.28594.33.811.3594.33.8
22:571.17595.94.111.2595.94.1
22:560.65554.83.830.7554.83.8
22:550.90574.84.470.9574.84.5
22:540.97583.64.451.0583.64.4
22:531.28587.84.191.3587.84.2
22:521.12591.14.431.1591.14.4
22:510.96578.45.441.0578.45.4
22:501.09570.85.091.1570.85.1
22:490.87565.72.730.9565.72.7
22:480.38546.43.350.4546.43.3
22:470.36543.03.730.4543.03.7
22:460.67561.21.800.7561.21.8
22:451.71575.63.951.7575.63.9
22:440.59550.34.520.6550.34.5
22:430.89541.43.940.9541.43.9
22:420.50558.23.270.5558.23.3
22:410.17541.30.960.2541.31.0
22:400.34551.31.060.3551.31.1
Built 2025-11-15 00:40 from source
Solar wind parameters of the latest hour by NOAA
parameterminmaxmean
IMF Bz [nT]-2.95.62.5
velocity [km/s]514.0627.7545.8
density [cm-3]0.11.20.8
Geomagnetic activity (RX [nT])
sitelatest hournext hour (RXmin, RXmax)
Kevo (KEV)287281
Maasi (MAS)296281
Kilpisjärvi (KIL)317311
Ivalo (IVA)225256
Muonio (MUO)214251
Sodankylä (SOD)185242
Pello (PEL)164222
Oulujärvi (OUJ)10372
Mekrijärvi (MEK)5225
Hankasalmi (HAN)5335
Nurmijärvi (NUR)5330
Tartu (TAR)4222
low increasedmoderate high very high

Short explanation of the method

Data and licenses

AurorasNow! (Finnish Meteorological Institute)
Built 2025-11-15 00:32 from source
Issue Time: 2025-11-14 23:38 UTC
SUMMARY: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2025-11-14 09:20 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025-11-14 09:50 UTC
End Time: 2025-11-14 13:25 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 16 pfu
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Issue Time: 2025-11-14 17:50 UTC
WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day
Nov 15: None (Below G1) Nov 16: G1 (Minor) Nov 17: G1 (Minor)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-14 12:09 UTC
SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025-11-14 08:22 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025-11-14 08:25 UTC
End Time: 2025-11-14 08:41 UTC
Duration: 19 minutes
Peak Flux: 1100 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 156 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

Issue Time: 2025-11-14 11:45 UTC
ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025-11-14 08:37 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

Issue Time: 2025-11-14 09:37 UTC
ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2025-11-14 09:20 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Issue Time: 2025-11-14 09:17 UTC
WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2025-11-14 09:17 UTC
Valid To: 2025-11-14 23:59 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Issue Time: 2025-11-14 09:08 UTC
SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2025-11-14 07:44 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025-11-14 08:30 UTC
End Time: 2025-11-14 08:40 UTC
X-ray Class: X4
Optical Class: na
Location: N24W68
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

Issue Time: 2025-11-14 08:41 UTC
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025-11-14 08:13 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1525 km/s
Comment: From San Vito
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

Issue Time: 2025-11-14 08:26 UTC
ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-14 08:23 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 21:11 UTC
SUMMARY: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2025-11-10 10:30 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025-11-12 02:15 UTC
End Time: 2025-11-13 21:00 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 1456 pfu
NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 20:58 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5148
Valid From: 2025-11-11 22:30 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-14 12:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 20:56 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2137
Valid From: 2025-11-11 23:43 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-14 09:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 20:56 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 625
Valid From: 2025-11-11 23:44 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-14 09:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 15:38 UTC
WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day
Nov 13: G3 (Strong) Nov 14: G1 (Minor) Nov 15: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Comment: Downgrading watch to G3 (Strong) for the remainder of 13 Nov as geomagnetic activity gradually subsides.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 14:47 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 624
Valid From: 2025-11-11 23:44 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-13 21:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 14:36 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-13 14:35 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 11:45 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 614
Valid From: 2025-11-10 10:30 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-13 21:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 07:32 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-13 07:23 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 07:32 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2136
Valid From: 2025-11-11 23:43 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-13 21:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 07:32 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 623
Valid From: 2025-11-11 23:44 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-13 15:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 07:04 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-13 06:47 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 06:03 UTC
SUMMARY: Proton Event 100MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1pfu
Begin Time: 2025-11-11 11:00 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025-11-12 01:50 UTC
End Time: 2025-11-12 09:25 UTC
Maximum 100MeV Flux: 37 pfu

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 06:00 UTC
SUMMARY: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 100pfu
Begin Time: 2025-11-11 12:25 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025-11-12 02:15 UTC
End Time: 2025-11-13 02:05 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 1460 pfu
NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 05:23 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-13 05:18 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 04:07 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-13 04:04 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 03:35 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-13 03:30 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 01:53 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-13 01:50 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 01:21 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-13 01:16 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 00:30 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-13 00:25 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-13 00:03 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 23:59 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-0000 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 23:56 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 613
Valid From: 2025-11-10 10:30 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-13 12:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 23:54 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 119
Valid From: 2025-11-11 10:28 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-13 06:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 23:38 UTC
SUMMARY: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Begin Time: 2025-11-12 01:45 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025-11-12 02:15 UTC
End Time: 2025-11-12 03:10 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 1460 pfu
NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong
Comment: Final CME shock appears to have arrived at L1 at approximately 12/1853 UTC. The corresponding proton enhancement in GEO reached 819 pfu at 12/1915 UTC. S3 levels are no longer expected.
WC

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 20:54 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 622
Valid From: 2025-11-11 23:44 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-13 09:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 20:54 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Extension to Serial Number: 137
Valid From: 2025-11-12 00:20 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-13 09:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 20:52 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 20:51 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 20:11 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 20:09 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 19:38 UTC
SUMMARY: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2025-11-12 19:17 UTC
Deviation: 33 nT
Station: FRD

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 19:04 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2025-11-12 19:15 UTC
Valid To: 2025-11-12 19:45 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2025-11-12 18:53 UTC

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 18:05 UTC
WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G4 or Greater Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day
Nov 13: G4 (Severe) Nov 14: G1 (Minor) Nov 15: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 17:36 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 17:19 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 12:51 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 12:40 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 11:51 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 118
Valid From: 2025-11-11 10:28 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-12 23:59 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 10:38 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 10:33 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 09:35 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 09:31 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 09:19 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 09:12 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 08:59 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 08:59 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 08:37 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Extension to Serial Number: 136
Valid From: 2025-11-12 00:20 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-12 21:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 08:37 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2135
Valid From: 2025-11-11 23:43 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-13 12:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 08:37 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 621
Valid From: 2025-11-11 23:44 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-12 23:59 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 08:37 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 08:31 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 08:37 UTC
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5147
Valid From: 2025-11-11 22:30 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025-11-13 23:59 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 06:59 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 06:55 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 05:02 UTC
CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3558
Begin Time: 2025-11-10 13:25 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 10891 pfu

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 03:46 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 03:45 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 03:14 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 03:10 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 03:11 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 03:06 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 03:10 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 03:05 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 01:55 UTC
ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Begin Time: 2025-11-12 01:45 UTC
NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong
Spacecraft - Single-event upsets to satellite operations, noise in imaging systems, and slight reduction of efficiency in solar panels are likely.
Radio - Degraded or episodically blacked-out polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 01:22 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 01:21 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 00:45 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 00:40 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 00:30 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 00:24 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 00:21 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 00:12 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 00:20 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2025-11-12 00:20 UTC
Valid To: 2025-11-12 09:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

Issue Time: 2025-11-12 00:19 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025-11-12 00:11 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Issue Time: 2025-11-11 23:45 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025-11-11 23:44 UTC
Valid To: 2025-11-12 12:00 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Issue Time: 2025-11-11 23:45 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025-11-11 23:43 UTC
Valid To: 2025-11-12 23:59 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Built 2025-11-14 23:40 from source